Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
102 UC Irvine 100.0%   14   19 - 12 11 - 5 19 - 12 11 - 5 +4.1      +2.0 102 +2.0 102 63.9 244 +3.6 114 +4.6 3
109 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 5 17 - 13 11 - 5 +3.7      +1.9 109 +1.9 109 61.8 283 +3.2 119 +4.6 2
110 UC Davis 0.0%   23 - 6 14 - 2 23 - 6 14 - 2 +3.7      +1.8 110 +1.8 110 63.3 261 +6.6 79 +11.4 1
123 Hawaii 0.0%   20 - 13 8 - 8 20 - 13 8 - 8 +2.8      +1.4 123 +1.4 123 76.5 17 +2.3 136 -0.1 5
137 Long Beach St. 0.0%   14 - 17 10 - 6 14 - 17 10 - 6 +1.8      +0.9 137 +0.9 137 68.7 112 +3.1 120 +3.2 4
154 Cal Poly 0.0%   11 - 16 6 - 10 11 - 16 6 - 10 +0.6      +0.3 154 +0.3 154 55.7 344 -0.9 179 -3.1 7
218 UC Riverside 0.0%   12 - 17 7 - 9 12 - 17 7 - 9 -2.9      -1.5 218 -1.5 218 67.6 140 -2.7 214 -0.9 6
260 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   7 - 24 4 - 12 7 - 24 4 - 12 -5.5      -2.8 260 -2.8 260 68.5 117 -8.1 301 -5.8 8
295 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   7 - 22 1 - 15 7 - 22 1 - 15 -7.2      -3.6 295 -3.6 295 69.2 101 -7.5 294 -14.7 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
UC Irvine 2.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 2.0 100.0
UC Davis 1.0 100.0
Hawaii 5.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 4.0 100.0
Cal Poly 7.0 100.0
UC Riverside 6.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 8.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
UC Irvine 11 - 5 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 11 - 5 100.0
UC Davis 14 - 2 100.0
Hawaii 8 - 8 100.0
Long Beach St. 10 - 6 100.0
Cal Poly 6 - 10 100.0
UC Riverside 7 - 9 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 4 - 12 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Irvine
UC Santa Barbara
UC Davis 100.0% 100.0
Hawaii
Long Beach St.
Cal Poly
UC Riverside
Cal St. Northridge
Cal St. Fullerton


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 12.5 65.5 21.7 0.3
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Irvine 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 11.5% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 11.5% 0.1 88.5 11.5
Sweet Sixteen 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0